耶伦鹰派提振美指,今日非美高空.
上周五备受关注的耶伦讲话前后,市场对美联储政策的理解在短时间内由鸽转鹰,美元指数上演了过山车行情,先急速上涨至95.03后下跌,一度触及94.24区域后再度走高,最高探及95.65一线.
基本面看,耶伦提到最近数个月美国经济较好,接近美联储的就业和通胀目标,增强了上调联邦基金利率的可能性,随后费希尔的解读,也使加息预期再度升温。
技术面看,美指成功突破95.00-95.20阻力,随后尝试突破95.50阻力,目前已有企稳95.50的迹象,且4H上涨动能强劲,天图MACD由空转多,故今日维持低多美指的思路.
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