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英银决议后丹斯克银行变脸 称明年全年料无宽松

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  丹斯克银行(danske bank)研究团队在英国央行周四(11月3日)发布决议维稳政策后,修改了此前的预期,称预计英国央行明年全年都将不会启动降息。
英银决议后丹斯克银行变脸 称明年全年料无宽松

  该行称,英国央行似乎对于其行动稳定了经济,并将通胀率提升至接近2%目标感到“十分满意”,鉴于经济数据目前体现出的韧性,英国央行现在预计该国短期经济增速将有所上升,并预计随着英镑的贬值,通胀将高于8月所确立的目标。

  该行进一步称,鉴于英国央行逐渐向中性立场转变,以及该国经济数据逐渐体现出韧性,该行收回此前英国央行将于明年2月降息的预期,转而认为,英国央行2017年全年都将不会扩大宽松政策;虽然该行认为,在当前政治风险的关口,英国央行将不会收紧政策,但只有经济放缓,失业率增加后,英国央行才会进一步放宽政策。

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