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法巴银行:本周市场将直面三大关键事件考验

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  法国巴黎银行周一(2月27日)撰文指出,本周美国将出炉三大关键事件:美国总统特朗普将在国会发表演讲(2月28日)、1月核心pce数据(3月1日)与美联储主席耶伦的讲话(3月3日)。

  法巴表示,特朗普料将透露其税收计划,市场预计核心pce数据将进一步上升至与美联储的2%目标仅差0.2个百分点,耶伦将在美联储3月15日fomc会议前进入缄默期之前发表最后的讲话。市场当前预计3月加息概率为35%,今年将加息两次。

  在法巴看来,在几位fomc票委相继表示3月加息可能仍未被排除的情况下,在这三大事件出炉之前风险仍在于,市场需要提升美联储加息概率,美元将因此而走强。

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