方奇凡:3.7黄金及原油行情分析预测
原油依然延续今年的盘整趋势,不过周二传来了好消息,伊拉克表示OPEC可能需要延长检查协议。
OPEC的减产引起了非OPEC国家的供应增长,这是原油迟迟无法突破区间的关键原因。上周五贝克休斯(BakerHughes)数据显示美国活跃钻井数连续7周上涨,意味着美国原油供应会更多流入市场。
黄金现在看的是对美联储(FED)加息的反应,3月加息已经板上钉钉。
自从加息预期上涨后,黄金跌幅小于5%。有鉴于此,黄金可能会继续上涨。
黄金更加远离200日移动均线。支撑位在1218区间,然后在1月低位1180。阻力位在1262,突破将继续看多。
原油保持窄幅振荡。支撑位在53.66,然后在52.31。阻力位在55.21-65,然后在50%扩展位57.18。
北京时间21:18现货黄金报1222.25美元/盎司,美国原油报53.52美元/桶。
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