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美元/日元中期上升趋势仍未结束 - 美银美林

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美元/日元中期上升趋势仍未结束 - 美银美林

FXStreet - 美银美林外汇研究团队再度提出,尽管美元/日元近期跌破110,日元强势可能已经耗尽,美元/日元中期上升趋势仍未结束。

美银美林称日元走强不光是由于全球风险事件,资金流动可能导致日元走强。


日本财年年初保险公司将增加外国债券购买,这属于季节性因素。今年以来

(1).超长期日本国债收益率出现上升,但维持在相对较低的水平;

(2) 外汇对冲成本出现降低;

(3) 美国国债收益率出现下降;

(4) 美元/日元出现下跌。


目前美银美林称,美元/日元买盘不强,但4月风险事件过后,或者当市场对美国税改再燃乐观情绪后,美元在未来数月将会出现上涨。

特别是在4月这个多事之月以后,相信美元/日元的供需平衡将会出现改善。(来源:FXStreet)

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