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高盛:仍看好大宗商品前景

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高盛:仍看好大宗商品前景

FXStreet-高盛在日期为4月25日的报告中回应了看空大宗商品的担忧,称随着全球制造业加速,大宗商品的前景正在改善。


高盛认为,大宗商品的定价取决于经济活动水平,而不是增长率。“即使增速现在放缓,需求水平正在开始升到足以超过供应的高水平,并开始消化库存”。之前强劲的中国信贷数据料转化成实际的经济活动,包括对金属的强劲需求。

高盛维持去年11月份开始的看多大宗商品的立场,预计大宗商品回报率的波动性下降。
  
彭博大宗商品指数今年以来下跌4%;3月份创下去年7月以来最大月度跌幅。
  
高盛分析师认为,地缘政治风险将支持金价,抵消增长率和利率上升的影响。此外,石油市场的再平衡正在取得进展。(来源:FXStreet)

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