彭建川:9.11原油“跌跌不休”,47美元支撑成关键
彭建川:9.11原油“跌跌不休”,47美元支撑成关键
直奔主题;:
a美原油从上周五高位49.20附近,开始断崖式下行,出其不备跌入48美元,上演黑色星期五,收盘于47.70附近,日内主要在47.00-47.80区域运行,整体偏差空头。
美国强烈飓风对美国经济造成巨大损失,其中对原油的消极影响或将持续一段时间,因为此前两大飓风“哈维”、“艾尔玛”均带来对原油需求下降,将给9月原油市场的平衡带来一定的压力。料短期内,油价或有继续下行风险,而短期47美元或将再受考验。
从美原油日线走势来看,高位A点不断下移至高点D,整体格局依然偏空,市场多头的逆转依然需要更多的因素和信号加持。49.30一带,呈现比较强的压力,而下方47.00一带,呈现比较强的支撑,近期大区域运行于44.00-50.00之间,主要区域在49.30-46.30之间。短期压力位关注48.20,上方压力49.30附近;支撑位关注47.00,下方支撑46.30附近。
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