金沐泽:金价震荡上行,千三关口势在必得?
周一黄金在1290美元上方盘整,本周随着感恩节假期的尘埃落定,特朗普税改将迎来新进展,还有大波数据来袭,众多美国联邦储备关键人物也将轮番登场,贵金属市场恐将再掀狂风巨浪。黄金一直在窄幅波动,波动范围继续收缩,是否意味着破位即将到来?
上周五自1290美元上方回落,但依旧连续第三日收在50日移动平均线1284美元以上,上涨动能也许正在积累。就目前来看,日图技术指标上看,趋势指标MACD红色动能柱持平,双线金叉向上,随机指标KDJ金叉向上散发;布林通道中,黄金价格位于中轨与上轨之间,短时间移动平均线向上,黄金价格风险略偏上涨,若破位1300/1306美元的区域上轨,则有望看向1315美元的回撤阻力。至于下行方面,若黄金价格跌破1270美元,则可能挑战200日移动平均线1265美元,进一步跌破将打开下行空间。短线操作若上方不破压力位则先看回落,上方初步阻力在1297/1300美元。
长线趋势(三个月):温和看多
短时间趋势(一个周):谨慎看多
策略:1297一线做空,止损1300,目标看1290附近。
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