MACD的经验认识(一)
MACD还是只知道金叉死叉,甚至连金叉死叉都不知道的投资者们,这两篇建议好好看一下,绝对干货,挤不出一滴水。
怕一篇长了被大家抡死,说又臭又长,拆成了两篇来写,欢迎来喷。由于本篇涉及的相对基础,请现货,期货,证券股票高玩们口下留情。
弄点基础的,先来看看MACD的构成
好,我先听听哀嚎,说好的金叉上涨,死叉下跌呢。这个理论固然是没有任何问题的,关键是,出现了个金叉,一会就不见了,上个厕所变死叉了。
这本身就是指标的缺陷,指标是随机性是很强的,越是小级别图形,指标根据行情变化的可能性越高,也对行情波动越敏感,完全按照金叉上涨,死叉下跌的理论去做,做到尿血你都做不好的。
比如外汇里欧元和英镑,英镑由于烈度较大,金死叉在小级别图形里的变化速度就高于英镑。越是高烈度波动基值大的品种,小级别图形里的金死叉变化会更剧烈,其实也就越不可信。
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