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张新华:黄金日内先看反弹!

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今天周三,晚间有美联储利率决议,市场释放的信号加息的概率很大,但是在贵金属或者外汇市场对于美国加息已经表现疲软的状态,甚至有时还会出现不对称的表现,也就是原则上加息会对黄金利空,美元利多,但是往往在市场反应上会出现反向的可能。

一方面美国加息不仅是经济手段,也有政治手段,对一些产品的影响也是短暂的,所以日内黄金的走势更倾向于震荡的节奏,但是在日线和周线方面,虽然前面是下跌,近期长周期的横盘没有让金价走出区间,反而波动的波幅很小。

另外,全球经济没有想象中那么强劲,利益冲突不断,地缘政治关系不断复杂,黄金下跌的动能不大。

在形态方面,金价昨日虽然有走高,但是拉升的动能没有释放太多,凌晨和早间是属于窄幅修正,回撤的空间不大,所以日内依然有继续走高的需求,下方支撑1195附近,上方阻力1208-10一线。

张新华:黄金日内先看反弹!

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