老黑策略:4.1原油分析策略
【原油】(美油)
上周美油围绕60一线上下震荡,最终还是收在了60上方,周线再录得一阳线,这已经是连续第四根阳线上涨,从周线技术结构上来看,美油的这种缓慢爬坡上涨的方式逐渐在消耗多头动能,且周K线虽持续收阳,但阳线力度已经不是很强,技术空头动能持续被积压,很有可能会导致报复性的下跌行情出现。
以日线结构来看,美油的持续震荡慢爬坡并没有给行情带来实际的上涨动能,行情依然处在上升通道中运行,虽然站上了60一线,但也将要面对趋势线压制62以及200日线的压力测试。此外日线级别指标已经出现背离,短期内美油如果再度温和回升再创新高也难调动市场积极性,反倒增加技术上底背离的作用。
所以本周美油允许继续温和震荡爬坡,上方着重关注62压力测试,但是这不代表操作上可参与多单,目前再追多的风险是很大的,从可操作行以及利润空间的角度考虑,还是耐心等待行情测压62附近再做考虑。
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