货币走势分析
针对近期特朗普言论以及美联储的鸽派态度,预计下月至4季度美联储会针对强势美元出面干预,周五的欧美跌势个人预计将是接近盘底的最后一次超卖,空头预计将会回补,但相较全球经济的衰退,美国经济基本面依然强劲,美元依旧会被全球投机客看好。料想美元会依旧维持现有位置或小幅走高。欧美预计会进行中长期低位盘整,或小幅走低。相较美元我更看好日元,避险货币日元3季度表现最好,鉴于全球经济进入衰退的环境中,日本经济并无明显数据性衰退信号,失业率'CPI,GDP极其工业生产指数都表现不错,日元的升值对日本各项指标并无太大影响,相信政府短期不会进行政策干预,料想日元4季度会依旧强势。9月交易策略以做空弱势货币兑日元,长期持有或技术回调短期持有日元,弱势货币依旧看好纽币。英镑脱欧影响较大,不建议持有。黄金高点也非常容易见顶回抽,关键点位1560,突破上看1600,空头不建议进场
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