老黑策略:11.3原油分析策略
#WTI.F# 【原油】(美油)
美油昨日先居高震荡,再测83.5一线后承压,随后行情反复震荡回修,在API库存大增的影响下,尾盘美油再度下跌跌破82,日线收得一阴,吞没周一阳线空间,同时也再度贯穿跌破5、10日均线,如此表现说明当前行情上涨全凭基本面影响市场情绪,自身技术走势并不支持上涨,居高状态下,也很难有进一步的跟涨动能。
目前美油技术上的调整趋向还是比较强的,但是基本面混乱导致市场情绪的不稳定依旧是当前操作上的最大风险。结合日线以及1、4小时图,日内上方着重关注82.3-5压力带测试,下方先关注81.5、81支撑测试,如果跌破80,则行情很有可能就此展开中期波段级别的调整趋势。
日内操作上,保守者可继续观望一下,有待晚间EIA原油库存数据,以及明凌晨美联储利率决定后根据情况再做参与打算。激进则在日内回弹82.3、82.5/6附近时轻仓短空,带止损83上方,目标下看81.5附近先减仓改保本止损,回撤81附近再做减仓,且空单可保留看80附近回撤预期,以及可看行情展开中线级别回落调整的预期。
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