黄金方面
黄金方面:
有关美联储强力加息控通胀,将令美国经济陷入衰退的讨论越来越激烈。“看空者”认为,持续的物价上涨迫使美联储把重点从支持经济活动转向压低通胀,充分就业目标在物价稳定目标之后。通胀降不下来是灾难性的,而通胀降下来也是痛苦的(经济衰退)。此外,经济史表明美国大概率会出现硬着陆。
美联储主席鲍威尔在参议院作证词时表示,持续加息是适当的,加息速度取决于未来数据;美联储坚决承诺将通胀率恢复到2%;美国经济强劲,能够承受更紧的货币政策。据CME“美联储观察”:美联储到7月份加息50个基点的概率为4.3%,加息75个基点的概率为95.7%。
经济衰退风险正在积聚,投资者需时刻保持清醒头脑。
技术面:昨日(6月23日)金价在美盘时间搞事情,一个短线的过山车,收盘上影阴线,下跌意味再度转浓厚。从周初开始始终强调均线系统的压制,截至目前13日均线实现了“全面压制”,后续走势堪忧。
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