确定性与博弈
做个选择题:第一种是,直接给你100万;第二种是,抛硬币,猜对上面是哪一面,就给你1000万。你会怎么选?
一般书本上,都说要选第二种,因为潜在收益更高。这种说法是片面的。如果可以选100次,那么肯定第二种的收益高。但现在只能选1次,就不一样了。
如果你是穷人,现在还一无所有,那么拿到确定性的100万,对你来说是最重要的。如果你是富人,你已经有1000万了,再多100万也不过是10%,此时在不妨去博一下1000万,就算没得到,也没多大影响。
所以说,原始积累很重要,积累越多,可试错的机会就越多。周末一点胡乱分享!
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