交易的不确定性
为什么在交易中，圣杯不存在？
无论从基本面还是技术面出发，分析的过程都是个人逻辑的体现，而市场运行结果则是市场逻辑的体现，个人逻辑替代不了市场逻辑。因此不管分析多么缜密，都无法跨越个人逻辑和市场逻辑之间的鸿沟，除非你有本事让市场能够服从你的个人逻辑。从个人逻辑到市场逻辑，只能是一种相关性，而非因果。
而市场运行逻辑，大多是市场运行之后的一种回顾和总结。而且，每次能否找到市场逻辑，在概率上是独立的。这次成功的经验，可能就埋下了下次失败的隐患。
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