技术分析 – 金价自五个月低点反弹,突破200日SMA
金价触及前期高点1,987后一直经历强劲回调,并跌至五个月新低1,884。然而,金价设法获支撑并挽回部分损失,继而突破200日移动平均线(SMA)。
目前动量指标表明,看跌力量疲软,但仍占主导。相对强弱指数(RSI)强劲上涨,但尚未突破50中立水平,而异同移动平均线(MACD)指标在看跌区间的红色信号线上方走强。
若金价延续近期涨势,则5月低点1,932可能形成阻力,即与50日移动平均线(SMA)重叠之处。若成功突破此处,多头或将尝试将金价推高至连接近期较低高点的下行趋势线上方,继而测试2月高点1,959。继续上行,金价或将在7月高点1,987处停涨。
反之,若金价反转走低,则6月低点1,893可能初步提供支撑。若成功跌破此处,金价可能跌至五个月低点1,884。继续下行,或需密切关注3月低点1,857。
简而言之,金价自五个月低点强劲反弹后,似乎正在重获动能。然而,短期内金价需突破下行趋势线才有望转为看涨前景。
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