美国11月CPI微超预期,黄金会...🤔
【基本面】美国11月CPI同比增速小幅放缓,但环比增速扩大,核心CPI同比增4%未再降温,市场减少了对美联储明年降息力度的押注。最新数据表明,美联储恐难以很快降息。整体而论,由于美国11月非农数据超预期增长,加上11月CPI微超预期,这可能使美联储维持高利率政策更久,故黄金以偏空布局为主要思路。
【技术面】观察日线图,黄金已跌破此前的盘整格局,此外也有小幅反弹测试压力区间,结果仍再度回落。副指标方面,MACD负值柱状体递增加上KD双线向下且在低位钝化,这都隐含短线有持续下跌可能。整体而论,考量基本面因素(劳动力市场好于预期+CPI微超预期),叠加技术面出现下跌信号,故建议投资者以偏空布局为主要思路。
#XAU/USD# #gold# #USDollarIndex#
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