初级交易者的钟摆理论
在期货市场中,交易者认定自己禁不起严重的损失时.他们通常便会呈现这类行为。他们设定非常紧贴的止损时,行情总是折返而触发他们的止损,然后再朝他们当初认定的方向大幅前进。于里,这些交易者判定:“问题是止损设得太贴近,市场需要活动的空间”。在下一笔交易中,他们把止损设得非常宽松,以便让市场有活动的空间。然而行情仍然大幅折返,并引发他们设定的止损。在非常懊恼的心情下,他们又判定:“我禁不起这么严重的亏损,我还是必须采取较紧贴的止损”。在第一类型结构中,这可能是最常出现的行为范例。不论你采取何种行为,它总是造成另一种截然相反的行为。唯一不变的现象是持续变动的策略与稳定的亏损。他便是处在这种前 后摆动的模式中
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