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FxPro汇评:尽管零售销售疲软,澳大利亚的通货膨胀仍在加剧

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澳大利亚4月份的消费者通胀率有所上升,这与预期的下降趋势相反。价格同比涨幅为3.6%,而此前为3.5%,平均预期将下降至3.4%。

FxPro高级分析师Alex Kuptsikevich指出:通货膨胀率在去年年底达到稳定水平,降至3.4%,但在过去两个月里一直在上升。在过去的12个月中,有10个月的价格都在上涨。过去4个月连续加息消除了即将降息的顾虑。

FxPro汇评:尽管零售销售疲软,澳大利亚的通货膨胀仍在加剧

从外汇市场的反应来看,交易者并没有为政策收紧做好准备。由于价位试图突破0.6650,澳元兑美元面临更强的抛售。近几个月来工业金属价格的上涨以及与中国的贸易复苏给了我们很有趣的发展趋势。

澳元若能突破多个月阻力位0.6650,将开启通往0.6800的价格通道,0.6800是过去12个月的关键位置。当前外汇市场疲软,加上可能看涨的数据,也在助力制造国内压力。

然而,从熊市的角度来看,零售销售呈疲软状态,4月份零售销售月环比上升0.1%,年同比上升1.3%。

FxPro汇评:尽管零售销售疲软,澳大利亚的通货膨胀仍在加剧


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