Daily digest market movers: Here comes the Fed
- On US data, the main course will be served at 12:30 GMT with US Retail Sales for May:
- Headline Retail Sales expected to increase by 0.2% after being unchanged in April.
- Retail Sales without transportation are seen growing at a stable 0.2%.
- Revisions for the previous numbers, if significant, might also move markets.
- At 12:55 GMT, the US Redbook Index for the second week of June is expected. The previous release was at 5.5%.
- At 13:15 GMT, Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization data for May will be released. Industrial Production is expected to increase by 0.3% after being unchanged a month earlier. Capacity Utilization seen heading to 78.6% from 78.4%
- Equity markets are shaking off their losses from last week with green across the globe. US futures are also mildly in the green after Nvidia reached a new all-time high on Monday.
- The CME FedWatch Tool shows a 40.4% chance of the Fed interest rate remaining at the current level in September. Odds for a 25-basis-points rate cut stand at 55.0%, while a very slim 4.6% chance is priced in for a 50-basis-points rate cut.
- The benchmark 10-year US Treasury Note trades higher for the week, near 4.28%.
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