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7.6黄金大周期上涨已经开始

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1.黄金大周期上涨已经开始,在日线级别上看,已经形成了一个中继形态整理向上突破的一个格局,且收盘直接强势站上2390,那么在未来的7月-9月,黄金大概率会继续持续上涨。

2.基本面上看来,劳动力仍然呈现一个放缓的趋势,非农上个月公布的强势就业,也修正减少了6万人,这个月非农虽小超预期,但失业率却不断攀升至4.1%,从各方面来看劳动力市场处于一个很明显的放缓趋势。

3.上次文章提到了2次降息,看到这次的非农数据,可以更加确定9月大概是有一次降息,接下来的关键在于央行是否继续增持黄金和CPI数据还有鲍威尔的讲话了。

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