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USD/CAD: A BEARISH “SHOOTING STAR” ON THE DAILY CHART – UOB GROUP

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The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is a little firmer this morning but barely so. The CAD is a relative underperformer on a day of broad US Dollar (USD) softness, with the MXN losing ground, amid focus on Trump’s support for wide-ranging tariffs in his Bloomberg interview, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

Mixed momentum signals suggest choppy range trade

“CAD is a little firmer this morning but barely so. It’s a relative underperformer on a day of broad USD softness, with the MXN losing ground, amid focus on Trump’s support for wide-ranging tariffs in his Bloomberg interview.”

“Yesterday’s Canadian CPI data were mixed but a central bank that seems keen on easing rates at the moment will likely focus mostly on the lower than expected (-0.1% M/M) headline read than anything else. Swaps pricing shows a 25bps cut on the 24th is more or less fully priced in (21-22bps), nudging US/Canada term spreads out somewhat (2Y cash bond spreads wider to 67bps).”


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