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US DOLLAR RECOVERS WHILE POLITICAL FACTORS WEIGH IN

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  • US Dollar DXY kicked off the week with a slump after a brief rebound at the end of last week but managed to clear daily losses.
  • The anticipated exit of President Joe Biden from the presidential race invigorates investors' risk appetite which might limit the upside.
  • Dovish Fed expectations might also present a challenge to the green currency.

As the week opened, the US Dollar, measured by the DXY index, exhibited a decline towards the 104.30 area and then recovered to 104.40. US President Joe Biden's expected departure from the presidential race has favored former President Donald Trump, and this upheaval has spurred investors to lean towards riskier assets. Complementing this, the expectation of a dovish stance from the Federal Reserve continues to present challenges to the Greenback. Further indicators to look out for during the week are the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Q2 revisions and Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), which are widely anticipated to add an element of volatility in the USD.

Although the US economy is indeed showing early signs of disinflation, market confidence in a favorable September rate cut from the Federal Reserve remains steady. Even so, Fed officials express a strained demeanor and emphasize the importance of adhering to a data-dependant approach before rushing into any hasty interest rate reductions.


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