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US DOLLAR GAINS GROUND AS EVENTFUL WEEK BEGINS

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  • US Dollar displays strength ahead of Wednesday Fed decision and labor market data
  • Fed is expected to remain data-dependant but leave door open for September cut
  • Markets are extremely confident about a September cut of 25 bps

The US Dollar represented by the DXY index charged forward on Monday despite looming uncertainties. The market remains on edge with September's potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) somewhat uncertain, but optimism surrounding the US economy's strength is tempering anxieties. The Fed decision on Wednesday and labor market data will guide markets this week.

There is growing evidence of disinflation in the current US economic landscape, which solidifies the market's belief in a prospective rate cut in September. However, the broader economy demonstrates strength, as is made evident by recent data surprises like the Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and July S&P Global PMIs, which might give the Fed reasons not to rush a rate cut.


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