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AUD/USD REMAINS ON BACKFOOT NEAR 0.6550 WITH FED POLICY IN FOCUS

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  • AUD/USD sees more downside due to multiple headwinds.
  • Investors await the Aussie inflation data and the Fed’s policy meeting.
  • The Fed is expected to leave interest rates unchanged in the range of 5.25%-5.50%.

The AUD/USD pair consolidates in a tight range near 0.6550 in Monday’s European session. The near-term outlook of the Aussie asset remains vulnerable as weak iron ore prices have dampened the Australian Dollar’s (AUD) appeal.

Lower iron ore prices have negatively impacted foreign flows into Australia as it caters to more than 50% of its global demand. The prices of the base metal dived recently due to its weak demand outlook, with the Chinese economy going through a rough phase amid poor demand conditions. Lack of big bang stimulus announcement in the China’s Third Plenum outcome and an unexpected rate-cut decision by the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) raised concerns over China’s economic prospects. Also, China and Australia are close trading partners.

Domestically, the Australian Dollar will be influenced by the monthly and Q2 Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which will be published on Wednesday. In the second quarter, price pressures are estimated to have grown steadily by 1%. Annually, Q2 CPI is expected to have accelerated to 3.8% from the former release of 3.6%. This will boost expectations of further policy-tightening by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).


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