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GBP/USD HOVERS AROUND 1.2800, AIMS TO EXTEND GAINS DUE TO RISK-ON MOOD

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  • GBP/USD grapples to extend gains due to dovish sentiment surrounding the Fed’s policy stance.
  • The recent US labor data increased the probability of a 50-basis point Fed rate cut to 74.5% in September.
  • BoE Governor Bailey mentioned after the policy decision that the overall inflation trajectory is now closer to the 2% target.

GBP/USD edges lower to near 1.2790 during the Asian session on Monday, which could be attributed to the downside of the US Dollar (USD). The Greenback faces challenges due to increased expectations of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) reducing interest rates in September.

The CME's FedWatch Tool shows a rise in the probability of a 50-basis point rate cut on September 18, increasing to 74.5% from 11.5% a week earlier. This shift is attributed to disappointing US jobs market data and a larger-than-expected contraction in factory activity, as reflected by the ISM Manufacturing PMI, released on Friday.

US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by 114K in July from the previous month of 179K (revised down from 206K). This figure came in weaker than the expectation of 175K, data showed on Friday. Meanwhile, the US Unemployment Rate rose to the highest level since November 2021, coming in at 4.3% in July from 4.1% in June. Additionally, the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) tumbled to an eight-month low of 46.8 in July.


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