The Japanese Yen extends its winning streak due to heightened expectations of further rate hikes by the BoJ.
The JPY could also receive support from safe-haven flows due to escalated geopolitical tensions.
Recent US labor data increased the probability of a 50-basis point Fed rate cut to 74.5% in September.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) extends its winning streak against the US Dollar (USD) for the fifth successive session on Monday. This momentum is supported by expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may further tighten monetary policy, along with the unwinding of carry trades, which could provide continued support for the JPY in the near term.
The safe-haven Yen could benefit from heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. An Israeli airstrike on Sunday hit two schools, resulting in at least 30 casualties, according to Reuters. Additionally, US Secretary of State Tony Blinken indicated that Iran and Hezbollah might launch an attack against Israel as early as Monday, based on information from three sources briefed on the call, as reported by Axios.
The US Dollar faces pressure following Friday’s disappointing labor market data, which strengthened expectations for a US Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September. The CME's FedWatch Tool now indicates a 74.5% probability of a 50-basis point rate cut on September 18, up from 11.5% a week prior.
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