EUR/USD dived below 1.090 on Thursday after US jobless claims data, but then rapidly rebounded as the initial move proved understandably overdone, ING’s FX strategist Francesco Pesole notes.
The case for a higher EUR/USD is intact
“The 2-year EUR:USD swap rate gap has only marginally re-widened to -104bp, meaning the case for a higher EUR/USD is still very much intact. The improvement in risk sentiment should incidentally favour a leg higher.”
“The risk is, if anything, that markets hold a more defensive view and tolerate an undervalued EUR/USD for longer ahead of the key US CPI risk event. Even in that scenario, we would think EUR/USD would flatten rather than materially depreciate given the favourable rate spread.”
Disclaimer: The content above represents only the views of the author or guest. It does not represent any views or positions of FOLLOWME and does not mean that FOLLOWME agrees with its statement or description, nor does it constitute any investment advice. For all actions taken by visitors based on information provided by the FOLLOWME community, the community does not assume any form of liability unless otherwise expressly promised in writing.
Hot
No comment on record. Start new comment.