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DAX 40: BOND MARKET CORRECTION KEEPS INDEX FROM FALLING EVEN FURTHER

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DAX 40: BOND MARKET CORRECTION KEEPS INDEX FROM FALLING EVEN FURTHER
Scenario
TimeframeWeekly
RecommendationSELL STOP
Entry Point17630.0
Take Profit17020.0
Stop Loss18000.0
Key Levels17020.0, 17630.0, 17900.0, 18500.0
Alternative scenario
RecommendationBUY STOP
Entry Point17900.0
Take Profit18500.0
Stop Loss17400.0
Key Levels17020.0, 17630.0, 17900.0, 18500.0

Current trend

The leading index of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange DAX 40 is correcting around 17793.0.

Against the backdrop of the final stage of the publication of corporate reports, macroeconomic statistics are once again coming to the fore: so, the consumer price index (CPI) has corrected from 0.1% to 0.3% MoM and from 2.2% to 2.3% YoY, and the harmonized indicator has corrected from 0.2% to 0.5% MoM and from 2.5% to 2.6% YoY, confirming the continuing pressure on the region's economy.

Today, the financial results of the insurance company Hannover Rück SE will be published, with revenue forecast at 6.02 billion euros, below the previous figure of 6.67 billion euros, as well as 7.32 billion euros over the same period a year earlier.

The domestic bond market remains in correction, allowing the DAX 40 quotes to hold at current levels: for example, the yield on 10-year German debt securities fell to 2.220% from 2.269% recorded last week, and on 20-year ones – to 2.475% from 2.515%.

The growth leaders in the index are Rheinmetall AG ( 5.24%), Vonovia SE ( 3.04%), Siemens Healthineers AG ( 1.99%), Deutsche Bank AG ( 1.53%).

Bayer AG (˗1.48%), Siemens AG Class N (˗1.27%), Siemens Energy AG (˗0.82%) are among the leaders of the decline.

Support and resistance

On the D1 chart, the price is trading in a correction trend, falling and working out the signal of the "head and shoulders" pattern with the "neck" line at 17900.0.

Technical indicators do not react to the local correction and maintain a stable sell signal: fast EMAs on the "Alligator" indicator are below the signal line for a long time, and the AO histogram, located in the sales zone, forms descending bars.

Support levels: 17630.0, 17020.0.

Resistance levels: 17900.0, 18500.0.

DAX 40: BOND MARKET CORRECTION KEEPS INDEX FROM FALLING EVEN FURTHER

Trading tips

If the decline continues and the price consolidates below the support level of 17630.0, sell positions with the target of 17020.0 will be relevant. Stop loss – 18000.0. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

If the growth continues and the price consolidates above the resistance level of 17900.0, buy positions with the target of 18500.0 can we opened. Stop loss – 17400.0.


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