Daily digest market movers: US Dollars gains traction, investors eye Jackson Hole Symposium for direction
- Markets await fresh directions on Jerome Powell’s words at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday to get a confirmation on whether the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut in September.
- The Minutes from July's FOMC meeting were perceived as dovish, with several officials observing that recent progress on inflation and higher unemployment provides a feasible case for an interest rate range reduction of 25 basis points.
- The market still prices in 100 bps of total easing by year-end, but those odds will likely change after Powell’s directions.
- On the data front, the number of US citizens applying for unemployment insurance benefits rose by 232K in the week ending August 17, according to Thursday's US Department of Labor (DoL) report.
- This figure was slightly above the initial consensus of 230K and exceeded the previous weekly gain of 228K.
- The August flash estimate for the US S&P Global Composite PMI slightly slipped to 54.1 from 54.3 in July.
- However, this outperformed market expectations of 53.5, indicating that the business activity in the US's private sector continues to expand robustly.
- Concurrently, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI plummeted to 48, illustrating ongoing contraction, while the Services PMI saw a minor rise to 55.2.
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