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USD/JPY MAY TRADE HIGHER ON POWELL’S CAUTIOUS TONE – ING

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The Japanese Yen (JPY) enters today's risk event with decent momentum, having appreciated over 2% in the past seven days, ING’s FX strategist Francesco Pesole notes.

Markets remain relatively hesitant about a BoJ move by year-end

“Overnight, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda maintained a generally hawkish tone in a likely attempt to show independence from the recent turmoil in the Japanese stock market.”

“Further rate hikes are on the table, and the marginal CPI surprise (2.8% vs 2.7% year-on-year) this morning is also helping the hawkish case. Markets remain relatively hesitant about a move by year-end though, with only 10bp priced in by December. We think the chance of a hike is – once again – underpriced.”




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