• EUR/USD trades sideways below 1.1100 as investors await key inflation data from the Eurozone as well as the US.
• Soft German inflation boosted hopes of another ECB interest-rate cut in September.
• Upwardly revised US Q2 GDP slightly reduces the chances that the Fed will opt for a bigger rate cut.

EUR/USD trades in a very tight range below 1.1100 in Friday’s European session, with investors focusing on the Eurozone flash Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for August and the United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) for July, which will be published at 09:00 GMT and 12:30 GMT, respectively.

The Eurozone HICP report is expected to show that the headline inflation decelerated sharply to 2.2% from 2.6% in July due to lower energy prices. In the same period, the core HICP – which excludes volatile components like food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco – is estimated to have grown by 2.8%, slower than the former release of 2.9%.

The preliminary inflation data is expected to influence market speculation for the European Central Bank's (ECB) September interest rate cuts and, more broadly, the policy-easing path for the remainder of the year. 

Financial market participants already seem to be confident that the ECB will cut its key borrowing rates in September again. The ECB pivoted to policy-normalization in June but left interest rates unchanged in August. Market expectations for ECB September rate cuts increased sharply after data released on Thursday showed that price pressures in the Eurozone’s largest nation, Germany, returned to 2% for the first time in more than three years. Also, the economy is exposed to a technical recession as it contracted by 0.1% in the second quarter of this year and its economic outlook is vulnerable. Other Eurozone economies, such as France or Spain, have also seen a significant inflation decline in August.