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Daily digest market movers: Australian Dollar gains slightly after trade figures and hawkish RBA

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  • Australian exports rose 0.7% MoM and 1.4% YoY in July, while imports fell by 0.8% MoM and 3.0% YoY.
  • Exports to China slumped significantly in July, with coal and iron ore prices continuing to decline.
  • On Thursday, RBA Governor Bullock maintained a hawkish stance, reiterating that the Board does not expect to cut rates in the near term.
  • Across the Pacific, US labor market data disappointed, while ISM Services PMI figures helped the USD recover some losses.
  • Monetary policy divergence continues to favor the Aussie, with RBA cash rate futures pricing in a high probability of a 25 bps cut by December.


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