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USD/CAD TRADES WITH MODEST LOSSES AROUND MID-1.3500S AMID REBOUNDING OIL PRICES

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  • USD/CAD kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it lacks follow-through selling.
  • An uptick in Oil prices underpins the Loonie and exerts downward pressure on the major.
  • A modest USD strength might hold back bears from placing aggressive bets and limit losses.

The USD/CAD pair struggles to capitalize on Friday's strong intraday rally of over 100 pips and trades with a mild negative bias around mid-1.3500s during the Asian session on Monday. The downtick is sponsored by a modest rise in Crude Oil prices, though a combination of factors should help limit deeper losses.

Crude Oil prices move away from the lowest level since June 2023 touched on Friday amid the forecast of a potential hurricane approaching the northwestern US Gulf Coast, which accounts for 60% of US refining capacity. This, in turn, is seen underpinning the commodity-linked Loonie and exerting some downward pressure on the USD/CAD pair. That said, a weaker Canadian jobs report released on Friday raised hopes for additional interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada (BoC) and should cap gains for the domestic currency.


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