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EUR/USD HANGS NEAR MULTI-MONTH LOW, DEFENDS 1.1000 MARK AHEAD OF ECB MEETING

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  • EUR/USD holds steady above the 1.1000 mark as traders keenly await the ECB policy decision.
  • Reduced bets for a more aggressive Fed easing underpin the USD and cap gains for the major. 
  • Traders seem reluctant ahead of the key central bank event risk and the release of the US PPI. 

The EUR/USD pair struggles to gain any meaningful traction during the Asian session on Thursday and oscillates in a narrow band, just above the 1.1000 psychological mark, or a four-week low touched the previous day. Traders seem reluctant and opt to wait for the highly-anticipated European Central Bank (ECB) policy meeting before positioning for the next leg of a directional move.

The ECB is widely expected to lower interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) amid signs of cooling inflation in the Eurozone. The bets were reaffirmed by the data showing that the German Consumer Price Index (CP) print fell to its lowest level in over three years in August and touched the ECB's 2% target. This, in turn, undermines the shared currency and acts as a headwind for the EUR/USD pair amid a modest US Dollar (USD) strength. 

The US CPI report released on Wednesday indicated that consumer prices in the US are easing overall. The core CPI, however, suggested that the underlying inflation remains sticky and dashed hopes for a larger rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) next week. This is reinforced by an uptick in the US Treasury bond yields and lifts the USD Index (DXY), which tracks the buck against a basket of currencies, closer to the monthly peak. 



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