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Daily digest market movers: DXY down after inflation and labor data

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  • The US Dollar declined against its major rivals amid dovish signals from the latest US labor market and inflation reports.
  • Initial Jobless Claims, a proxy for layoffs in the US, increased to 230K in the week ended September 7, matching estimates and slightly above the prior week's upwardly revised 228K.
  • The advance seasonally-adjusted insured unemployment rate remained unchanged at 1.2%, and the 4-week moving average rose to 230.75K.
  • The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand in the US rose 2.2% YoY in July, below the 2.3% market forecast and the previous 2.7% increase.
  • The annual core PPI rose 2.4%, missing the 2.7% consensus estimate. On a monthly basis, the PPI increased 0.1%, while the core PPI remained flat.
  • The CME FedWatch tool indicates a 13% probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September, unchanged from before the PPI release.
  • These reports suggest that the US labor market remains resilient despite economic headwinds, while inflation pressures may be moderating, supporting the Fed's dovish stance.


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