USD/CHF FALLS TO NEAR 0.8450 DUE TO THE LIKELIHOOD OF AN AGGRESSIVE RATE CUT BY THE FED
- USD/CHF depreciates as traders expect the Federal Reserve to implement a 50 basis point rate cut.
- The CME FedWatch Tool indicates the likelihood of a 50 basis point cut has risen to 67.0%.
- The Swiss National Bank is expected to deliver a 25 basis point rate cut at its September meeting.
USD/CHF retraces its recent gains, trading around 0.8450 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The US Dollar (USD) faces challenges amid rising expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may announce a substantial 50 basis point rate cut at September’s meeting scheduled later in the North American session.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates that markets are assigning a 33.0% probability to a 25-basis-point rate cut, while the likelihood of a 50 basis point cut has risen to 67.0%, up from 62.0% just the previous day.
On Tuesday, JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon remarked that whether the Fed cuts interest rates by 25 or 50 basis points, the impact will be “not earth-shattering.” Dimon emphasized that while the Fed needs to make these adjustments, such rate changes are relatively minor in the broader context, as "there's a real economy" operating beyond the Fed’s rate modifications, according to Bloomberg.
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