Daily digest market movers: EUR/USD gains as market bets for ECB rate cuts in October wane
- EUR/USD remains firm above the crucial support of 1.1150 in Friday’s European trading hours. Lately, the major currency pair has performed strongly due to weakness in the US Dollar (USD). The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major peers, hovers above the year-to-date low of 100.21.
- The Greenback has weakened following the Fed’s bumper interest rate cut decision and increasing market expectations that the US central bank will continue with an aggressive policy-easing cycle. The Fed reduced interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) as policymakers seem to focus on reviving labor market strength as inflation is declining to the bank’s target of 2%.
- On the interest rate guidance, Fed policymakers see the federal fund rate heading to 4.4% by year-end, according to the latest dot plot. However, traders expect interest rates to decline further, by 75 bps to 4.00%-4.25%, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
- The preliminary consumer confidence reading for the Eurozone will be published at 14:00 GMT. Expectations are for a slight improvement of the index, to -13 in September from -13.5 in August.
- In Friday’s New York session, US investors will focus on Philadelphia Fed Bank President Patrick Harker’s speech at 18:00 GMT for fresh guidance on interest rates.
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