The Ripple Effects of Trader Losses on the Forex Market
"Failure is Delayed Success" is a misleading proverb when it comes to forex trading. Many traders fail repeatedly over time. The high failure rate makes it seem almost impossible for traders to succeed in forex trading.
As traders, it's natural for us to be concerned about this issue. Firstly, because the number of traders increases the demand for broker services, leading to many brokers competing to offer their best services.
Imagine if only a handful of brokers were available; it would create an oligopoly in the trading industry. The impact could make broker services homogenous and hinder innovation. Traders need brokers and can't avoid using their services. Without intense competition among brokers, they would effortlessly acquire clients.
In such a scenario, brokers could easily manipulate their service prices. Traders would have no choice but to comply because no other competitors offer similar services at lower costs. This would practically reduce the profits traders could generate.
Secondly, if the number of traders continues to dwindle due to the increasing number of failing traders, the forex trading industry, especially retail trading, will shrink. It's highly possible that retail forex trading will disappear in the future.
It would be unfortunate if the retail forex trading industry disappeared. Forex trading is one of the few jobs with minimal external influence. In any situation, traders can still trade and have opportunities to generate profits.
For example, let's say the global economic condition is unfavorable, making it difficult for conventional businesses to survive. People's purchasing power decreases as many lose their jobs. In such a situation, traders wouldn't feel the impact except for market conditions that might become more bearish than bullish, more volatile and risky. However, traders can still trade and make money as usual.
In forex trading, traders don't interact with "consumers" to conduct trades. They interact with liquidity providers who will always buy and sell to traders. So, whether people's purchasing power increases or decreases, it doesn't affect trading activities. Well, maybe the prices of basic necessities and utility costs become higher, affecting living expenses, but that's another issue.
Besides, traders are crucial elements in the trading ecosystem. Brokers exist because of demand from traders. The same applies to other services like copy trading, education, and even fund management. Without traders, these services and their providers would also go out of business.
The third reason is the emergence of many scammers exploiting the trend of trader failures. This has been happening frequently, even now. You can see many scammers offering recovery services to traders experiencing losses. They pretend to be angels, genuinely wanting to help you out of trouble.
Most of you might not fall for it, but what about others? If they're desperate and feel hopeless, they'll likely accept such manipulative offers.
The scary part is if these scammers implement Ponzi schemes. For instance, they create a situation where they appear to have successfully helped someone recover their losses, gaining trust from other traders. Then, the scammer can smoothly execute their plan.
Initially, you might be skeptical. But what if your friend or family member is experiencing significant losses and accepts someone's offer to help them recover, and it succeeds? Then, your friend tells you about it while you're also experiencing significant losses. Are you sure you wouldn't be tempted?
Of course, the scams won't always be the same. Scammers continuously innovate, creating new tricks that are harder to detect, making it more challenging for traders to avoid their traps.
All these scenarios might become reality if trader failures persist. On the surface, the negative impact seems to affect only traders. However, brokers and copy trading platforms will also be impacted, losing demand for their services, either gradually or significantly. Mentors and forex market analysts will experience the same consequences.
Therefore, it's not just traders who should care. Every element within the forex trading ecosystem should contribute to solving this problem. Otherwise, they'll also experience negative impacts, such as losing clients, decreased business revenue, and worsening business prospects.
Perhaps they've been doing fine so far because trader failures can be converted into profits for them. As discussed earlier, forex brokers have conditions in their agreements with traders that can exploit potential trader losses as their gains by taking positions against traders who frequently experience losses.
However, mathematically, generating profits from retail trader losses has very limited potential, especially as the number of active traders continues to shrink. If brokers persist in this way, they won't be able to grow and might even face bankruptcy. This applies to other entities besides brokers within the forex trading ecosystem, such as signal providers, mentors, analysts, and so on.
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