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AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR DECLINES AFTER LOCAL INFLATION DATA

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  • AUD/USD retreats on resurgent demand for safe-haven US Dollar amid lingering global economic concerns.
  • Hawkish RBA stance and market expectations of 50 bps Fed rate cut in November support the pair.
  • Despite softer Australian CPI data, near-term RBA rate cuts remain unlikely.

The AUD/USD retreated on Wednesday, declining by 0.70% to 0.6850. The pair's decline came as the US Dollar regained its safe-haven appeal amidst persistent global economic concerns. Despite the weaker Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, near-term RBA rate cuts remain unlikely, limiting the AUD/USD's downside potential. The upcoming speech from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell on Thursday and the US PCE Price Index on Friday will be closely watched for further cues on the central banks' monetary policy stance.

The Australian economy's outlook is uncertain due to contrasting indicators and the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) aggressive stance on inflation. As a result, markets are anticipating a modest interest rate cut of only 0.25% in 2024, signaling a shift away from previous expectations of more significant easing.


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