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Daily digest market movers: Australian Dollar declines as markets digest soft CPI, USD strength

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  • Despite positive news about China's new stimulus measures, global economic downturn concerns and geopolitical risks make investors cautious, leading to a weaker open in European equity markets.
  • The safe-haven US Dollar rebounds from its lowest point this year, benefiting from risk aversion and driving flows away from the risk-sensitive Australian Dollar.
  • The market predicts a 50-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in November, contrasting with the Reserve Bank of Australia's hawkish stance, supporting AUD/USD.
  • RBA Governor Michele Bullock indicates that recent data has not significantly affected the policy outlook, reinforcing the hawkish stance and limiting AUD/USD downside.
  • Australian CPI data showed a decline to 2.7% YoY in headline inflation to its lowest level since early 2022, offering some relief but insufficient to warrant RBA rate cuts.

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