- Market is starting to pare back its Fed easing bets, with the market now pricing in 175 bps of total easing over the next 12 months vs. 200 bps at the start of this week.
- Headline PCE Price Index rose by 2.2% YoY in August, below market expectations of 2.3%.
- Core PCE Price Index, excluding food and energy, increased by 2.7%, matching consensus estimates.
- Consumer confidence in the US improved in September with the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index edging higher to 70.1 from 66 in August.
- The five-year inflation expectation held steady at 3.1%, indicating that consumers do not expect inflation to rise significantly in the coming years.
- While dovish bets eased somewhat, the markets are pricing in a 50 bps cut for the next November meeting, which seems to weaken the USD.
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