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Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price is undermined by expectations of a less dovish Fed, bullish USD

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  • Friday's blowout US employment details temper market expectations for a more aggressive policy easing by the Federal Reserve and continue to undermine demand for the non-yielding Gold price. 
  • The US Labor Department reported that the economy added 254K jobs in September, beating estimates by a big margin, and the Unemployment Rate unexpectedly dipped to 4.1% from 4.2%.
  • Additional details showed that there were 72K more jobs added in July and August than previously reported, pointing to a still resilient labor market and that the economy is in a much better shape. 
  • According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, traders now see a nearly 95% chance that the Fed will lower borrowing costs by 25 basis points at the end of the November policy meeting. 
  • The yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond remains close to the 4.0% threshold, while the US Dollar stands tall near a seven-week high and keeps the XAU/USD bulls on the defensive. 
  • The upbeat US NFP report eased concerns about an economic slowdown, which, along with the optimism over China's stimulus, remains supportive of the upbeat mood around the equity markets. 
  • Israel carried out intense bombardment in Gaza’s Jabalia refugee camp and launched a new round of airstrikes in Lebanon. In retaliation, Hezbollah attacked Israel's Haifa on Monday morning.
  • The developments raise the risk of a full-blown war in the Middle East and might continue to benefit the commodity's safe-haven status, warranting some caution for bearish traders. 
  • Official data published earlier this Monday showed that China's Gold reserves remained unchanged for the fifth straight month and sat at 72.8 million fine troy ounces at the end of September.

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