技术分析 – USDJPY突破155水平
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·USDJPY恢复上行趋势,触及三个半月高点
·短期前景倾于看涨,7月阻力位可能抑制涨势
自7月以来,USDJPY首次突破155.00关口,再次引发市场乐观情绪,预计自9月中旬开始的上行趋势有望持续走高。
然而,该货币对似乎在前期高点155.20附近遇阻,此处曾在7月底引发汇价大幅下跌。随着相对强弱指数(RSI)和随机震荡指标逼近超买区间,市场可能出现涨势放缓或区间震荡。
若汇价强劲突破前期高点155.20,则多头有望持续走高。继续上行,汇价或将触及位于上行通道上轨的158.50-159.00区间。若成功突破此区间范围,前期高点160.20可能形成阻力。
反之,若汇价反转下行,则斐波那契回调线61.8%位置的价格153.40以及位于152.40的20日指数移动平均线(EMA)可能提供支撑。若成功跌破此处,则证实市场看跌情绪,届时或需密切关注斐波那契50%位置的价格150.75以及50日指数移动平均线(EMA)和200日指数移动平均线(EMA)。继续下行,该货币对可能测试斐波那契38.2%位置的价格148.11。
综上所述,目前USDJPY恢复上行趋势,多头需强劲突破前期高点155.20,才有望持续走高。
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