XAU/USD, H4
On the four-hour chart, the XAU/USD pair reached a three-month low of 2596.80 (0.0% correction) and is trying to correct to the area of 2642.00 (23.6% correction, middle line of Bollinger Bands) and 2670.00 (38.2% correction). For it, the price has to break the downward fan upwards. If the quotes are consolidated below 2596.80, the negative dynamics will resume to 2563.50 (100.0% expansion).
Technical indicators do not give a single signal: Bollinger Bands are directed downwards, Stochastic is directed upwards, and the MACD histogram is decreasing in the negative zone.
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XAU/USD, D1
On the daily chart, the price is correcting against the long-term upward trend, testing 2600.00 (correction 38.2%). Its breakout will allow it to decline to 2541.50 (correction 50.0%). Otherwise, the growth will resume to 2672.00 (correction 23.6%) and 2715.30 (middle line of Bollinger Bands).
Technical indicators allow the asset to decline: Bollinger Bands are reversing upwards, the MACD histogram has moved into the negative zone, and Stochastic, having entered the oversold zone, is directed downwards.
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Support and resistance
Soon, the downward movement of the trading instrument may continue, and after breaking through 2596.80 (correction 0.0%, H4), it may reach the area of 2563.50 (expansion 100.0%, H4) and 2541.50 (correction 50.0%, D1). However, in case of a breakout of 2642.00 (correction 23.6%, middle line of Bollinger Bands, H4), growth to the area of 2670.00 (correction 38.2%, H4 and 23.6%, D1) and 2715.30 (correction 61.8%, H4, middle line of Bollinger Bands, D1) is likely.
Resistance levels: 2642.00, 2670.00, 2715.30.
Support levels: 2596.80, 2563.50, 2541.50.
Trading tips
Short positions may be opened below 2596.80, with the targets at 2563.50, 2541.50, and stop loss 2224.00. Implementation period: 5–7 days.
Long positions may be opened above 2642.00, with the targets at 2670.00, 2715.30, and stop loss 2623.00.
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