技术分析 – USDCAD创四年高点后的未来走势?
![技术分析 – USDCAD创四年高点后的未来走势?](https://socialstatic.fmpstatic.com/social/202411/2cdac570e12c48fd92e74575eb0a3680.png?x-oss-process=image/resize,w_1280/quality,q_70/format,jpeg)
·USDCAD突破1.4000关口和长期区间
·多头如释重负,整体前景仍看涨
周四,USDCAD连续四日上涨,周五新的买盘情绪加剧,再创四年新高1.4070。
技术指标显示,该货币对突破1.4040附近的阻力趋势线后获支撑,引发市场对新一轮看涨周期的乐观情绪。然而,由于相对强弱指数(RSI)和随机指标均徘徊在超买区间,表明当前涨势过度,可能进入区间震荡。
若汇价维持上行,则心理关口1.4100以及2020年5月高点1.4170可能形成阻力。继续上行,多头或将尝试突破位于连接2002年和2020年高点试探性阻力线的1.4250。
反之,若汇价跌破前期低点1.4040,则1.4000关口可能立即提供支撑。若成功跌破此处,汇价或将触及前期低点1.3945和2022年高点1.3976。继续下行,一旦汇价跌破20日指数移动平均线(EMA)以及1.3900关口,可能发布强劲看跌信号,届时汇价或将回调至1.3820-1.3840支撑区间。
综上所述,该货币对已结束为期两年的盘整阶段,表明即将开启新一轮看涨周期。然而,在进入下一波涨势前,汇价可能出现短暂回调。
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