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EUR/USD RECOVERS WITH PROFIT-TAKING IN THE DOLLAR BULL RUN AT THE END OF THE WEEK

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  • EUR/USD bounces after a brief test of 1.0500 seen on Thursday, its lowest level in over a year. 
  • EUR/USD recovers on Friday due to profit-taking after a five-day losing streak.
  • Markets see the Fed putting the December rate cut in doubt, while the ECB is expected to continue easing, pointing to more downside for the EUR/USD. 

EUR/USD slightly recovers on Friday after a brief test of the 1.0500 level the prior day. The pair has eased nearly 1.5% so far this week as markets have priced in more Trump trade effects. That move is now facing some profit-taking after a five-day losing streak for the Euro against the Greenback. All pieces of the puzzle are now in, with potentially EUR/USD starting to trade sideways in a range until President-elect Donald Trump takes office in January. 

The EUR/USD recovery on Friday looks to be triggered by some profit-taking after the steep decline this week. Economic data from France released earlier in the day showed that inflation, as measured by the Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HCPI), came a touch higher than the preliminary reading for October. However, this may not change the dovish stance of the European Central Bank (ECB), which is set to cut its policy rate in its upcoming policy meeting in December. 



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