RBA MINUTES: VIGILANT TO UPSIDE INFLATION RISKS, POLICY MUST REMAIN RESTRICTIVE
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) published the Minutes of its November monetary policy meeting on Tuesday, highlighting that the board remains vigilant to upside inflation risks and believes policy needs to remain restrictive.
Key quotes
The board saw no "immediate need" to change the cash rate.
It is not possible to rule anything in or out regarding future changes in the cash rate.
Forecasts are based on the technical assumption that the cash rate will stay steady until mid-2025.
The board considered what might warrant a future change in the cash rate or a prolonged steady period.
The board discussed scenarios where policy would need to stay restrictive for longer or tighten further.
The supply gap might be wider than assumed, necessitating tighter policy.
Rates might need to rise if the board judged that policy was not as restrictive as assumed.
The board has "minimal tolerance" for inflation above forecasts.
The board would need more than one good quarterly inflation report to justify a rate cut.
The board considered scenarios where a rate cut would be justified, including weak consumption.
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