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Gold price continues to attract haven flows amid worsening Russia-Ukraine tensions

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  • Geopolitical tensions intensified after Russian President Vladimir Putin lowered the threshold for nuclear strikes and underpinned the safe-haven Gold price for the fourth straight day on Thursday.
  • Investors seem convinced that US President-elect Donald Trump's proposed expansionary policies could accelerate inflation and force the Federal Reserve to slow the pace of its rate-cutting cycle. 
  • Moreover, a slew of influential Fed officials recently cautioned on further policy easing, which remains supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields and keeps the US Dollar near the YTD high.
  • Lisa Cook, a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, noted on Wednesday that the central bank might get forced into a pause on interest rate cuts if inflation progress slows down.
  • Separately, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said that the progress on inflation appears to have stalled and that the US central bank should pursue a cautious approach to monetary policy.
  • Meanwhile, Boston Fed President Susan Collins said that more interest rate cuts are needed, but policymakers should proceed carefully to avoid moving too quickly or too slowly.
  • According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, traders are currently pricing in just over a 50% chance that the Fed will lower borrowing costs at its December monetary policy meeting. 
  • The yield on the benchmark 10-year US government advanced by the most in a week on Wednesday, which, along with a positive risk tone, might cap the safe-haven precious metal.

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